by Nowak-Lehmann Danzinger, Felicitas, Dierk Herzer, Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso, and Sebastian Vollmer (www.diw.de)
Series: DIW's Working Papers Series, No. 483, April 2005, 31 pages
For more information: please click here; PDF: download
Sabtu, 02 April 2005
Jumat, 01 April 2005
FERB: "Business Guide to Turkey"
Prepared by: Froeign Economic Relations Board (FERB)
Hazırlayan: Dış Ekonomik İkişkiler Kurulu (DEİK)
April/Nisan 2005
http://www.deik.org.tr/bultenler/businessguide/bg2005/
Hazırlayan: Dış Ekonomik İkişkiler Kurulu (DEİK)
April/Nisan 2005
http://www.deik.org.tr/bultenler/businessguide/bg2005/
Selasa, 22 Februari 2005
Dr. Faruk Selçuk has passed away... - Dr. Faruk Selçuk'un vefatı...
Dr. Faruk Selçuk, one of the most productive, young Turkish economists, has passed away on the 22nd of February 2005. (Değerli iktisatçı, Bilkent Üniversitesi öğretim üyesi dostumuz Dr. Faruk Selçuk'u 22 Şubat 2005 günü kaybettik.)
Taziye Defteri: http://cayfer.bilkent.edu.tr/fs/
Web Sayfası: http://www.bilkent.edu.tr/~faruk/
Faruk's Downloadable Papers in EconPapers: http://econpapers.repec.org/ras/pse79.htm
Selasa, 01 Februari 2005
Lejour & de Mooij: "Turkish Delight: Does Turkey's Accession to the EU Bring Economic Benefits?"
by Arjan M. Lejour and Ruud A. de Mooij
Kyklos, 58(1): 87-, February 2005
PDF: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0023-5962.2005.00279.x (Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.)
Abstract: We explore the economic implications of the possible Turkish accession to the European Union. We focus on three main changes associated with Turkish membership: (i) accession to the internal European Market; (ii) institutional reforms in Turkey triggered by EU-membership; and (iii) migration in response to the free movement of workers. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for EU countries are small but positive. European exports increase by around 20%. Turkey experiences larger economic gains than the EU: consumption per capita is estimated to rise by about 4% as a result of accession to the internal market and free movement of labour. If Turkey would succeed in reforming its domestic institutions in response to EU-membership, consumption per capita in Turkey could raise by an additional 9%. These benefits would spill over to the EU.
Kyklos, 58(1): 87-, February 2005
PDF: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0023-5962.2005.00279.x (Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.)
Abstract: We explore the economic implications of the possible Turkish accession to the European Union. We focus on three main changes associated with Turkish membership: (i) accession to the internal European Market; (ii) institutional reforms in Turkey triggered by EU-membership; and (iii) migration in response to the free movement of workers. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for EU countries are small but positive. European exports increase by around 20%. Turkey experiences larger economic gains than the EU: consumption per capita is estimated to rise by about 4% as a result of accession to the internal market and free movement of labour. If Turkey would succeed in reforming its domestic institutions in response to EU-membership, consumption per capita in Turkey could raise by an additional 9%. These benefits would spill over to the EU.
Kamis, 30 Desember 2004
SPO: "The Likely Effects of Turkey's Membership upon the EU"
DPT: "Türkiye'nin Üyeliğinin AB'ye Muhtemel Etkileri"
Türkçe: http://ekutup.dpt.gov.tr/ab/uyelik/etki/olasi.pdf
English: http://ekutup.dpt.gov.tr/ab/uyelik/etki/olasi-i.pdf
Türkçe: http://ekutup.dpt.gov.tr/ab/uyelik/etki/olasi.pdf
English: http://ekutup.dpt.gov.tr/ab/uyelik/etki/olasi-i.pdf
Rabu, 29 Desember 2004
Togan: "Turkey: Toward EU Accession"
by Sübidey Togan
The World Economy, 2004, 27(7): 1013-1045.
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to study selected aspects of Turkish accession to the EU. Joining the EU will require that Turkey attains macroeconomic stability, adopts the Common Agricultural Policy, and liberalizes its services and network industries. Furthermore, joining the EU will require Turkey to adopt and implement the whole body of EU legislation and standards - the acquis communautaire. According to the EU membership criteria, new members must be able to demonstrate the 'ability to take on the obligations of membership including adherence to the aims of political, economic and monetary union'. Thus Turkey will be expected to adopt the euro when it is ready to do so, but not immediately upon accession. Integration will boost allocative efficiency in the Turkish economy which in turn will make the country a better place to invest. Furthermore, Turkey will reap the benefits from monetary integration and from migration of labour to the EU. But the welfare gains will have a price, and the price will be the adjustment costs associated with the adoption of the acquis communautaire. The final section of the paper considers the effects of accession on the EU in terms of migration and budgetary effects. Copyright 2004 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Downloads: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0378-5920.2004.00614.x
(Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.)
The World Economy, 2004, 27(7): 1013-1045.
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to study selected aspects of Turkish accession to the EU. Joining the EU will require that Turkey attains macroeconomic stability, adopts the Common Agricultural Policy, and liberalizes its services and network industries. Furthermore, joining the EU will require Turkey to adopt and implement the whole body of EU legislation and standards - the acquis communautaire. According to the EU membership criteria, new members must be able to demonstrate the 'ability to take on the obligations of membership including adherence to the aims of political, economic and monetary union'. Thus Turkey will be expected to adopt the euro when it is ready to do so, but not immediately upon accession. Integration will boost allocative efficiency in the Turkish economy which in turn will make the country a better place to invest. Furthermore, Turkey will reap the benefits from monetary integration and from migration of labour to the EU. But the welfare gains will have a price, and the price will be the adjustment costs associated with the adoption of the acquis communautaire. The final section of the paper considers the effects of accession on the EU in terms of migration and budgetary effects. Copyright 2004 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Downloads: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0378-5920.2004.00614.x
(Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.)
Rabu, 01 Desember 2004
Erzan et al.: "Growth and Immigration Scenarios for Turkey and the EU"
by Refik Erzan, Umut Kuzubaş and Nilüfer Yıldız
CEPS, EU-Turkey Working Papers
http://shop.ceps.be/downfree.php?item_id=1183
Abstract: In the debate about Turkish EU membership and free movement of labour it is often overlooked that the EU cannot exercise a zero migration policy even if permanent safeguards were used. Even under the currently prevailing strict regime, there is an annual net migration from Turkey to the EU-15 in the order of 35,000 people. Any slowdown or suspension in Turkey?s accession process is likely to lead lower growth and higher unemployment in Turkey. Moreover, the reform process might slow down or be partially reversed. The consequence of such a combination would be drastically higher number of potential migrants. A considerable proportion of them would be finding their way into the EU ? as experience has shown irrespective of legal restriction. It is thus possible that if Turkey loses the membership perspective, the EU may end up having more immigrants than under a free movement of labour regime with a prosperous EU member Turkey. Moreover, the composition of this migration would be less conducive for the EU labour markets - and - for integration in the host societies.
The experiences of Greece, Portugal and Spain indicate that a successful accession period with high growth and effective implementation of the reforms reduces and gradually eliminates the migration pressures. There is no a priori reason why Turkey would not go through a similar experience.
CEPS, EU-Turkey Working Papers
http://shop.ceps.be/downfree.php?item_id=1183
Abstract: In the debate about Turkish EU membership and free movement of labour it is often overlooked that the EU cannot exercise a zero migration policy even if permanent safeguards were used. Even under the currently prevailing strict regime, there is an annual net migration from Turkey to the EU-15 in the order of 35,000 people. Any slowdown or suspension in Turkey?s accession process is likely to lead lower growth and higher unemployment in Turkey. Moreover, the reform process might slow down or be partially reversed. The consequence of such a combination would be drastically higher number of potential migrants. A considerable proportion of them would be finding their way into the EU ? as experience has shown irrespective of legal restriction. It is thus possible that if Turkey loses the membership perspective, the EU may end up having more immigrants than under a free movement of labour regime with a prosperous EU member Turkey. Moreover, the composition of this migration would be less conducive for the EU labour markets - and - for integration in the host societies.
The experiences of Greece, Portugal and Spain indicate that a successful accession period with high growth and effective implementation of the reforms reduces and gradually eliminates the migration pressures. There is no a priori reason why Turkey would not go through a similar experience.
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